At this writing, she’s sitting just north of Cape Canaveral, spinning with maximum sustained winds of about 50 miles per hour. For the time being, she forecast is for the storm to come back onshore somewhere around Flagler Beach. We’ve got about 15-20 mile per hour winds here this afternoon, and some off and on rain showers. The NWS says this is what we can expect for the next couple of days, which is pretty OK.
I like the beach in this kind of weather. I like the beach in all it’s moods. I’m not particularly interested in being here during an actual hurricane, but the blustery weather of a moderate tropical storm or nor’easter are part of the reason to live at the continent’s edge. I really hope tonight it rains hard and blows and blusters. Not so much that people’s power goes out or old live oaks are knocked down, but just enough so that we know that the weather is in charge, and we’re not any more permanent than the dunes themselves … so we might as well enjoy it while it lasts, no matter what the weather.
So, here we are, with the storm stubbornly refusing to behave like the forecaster say it should. It’s changed courses nearly every hour for the past three or four days. It’s meandered across the state. It didn’t become a hurricane coming across the straits of Florida like they said it should, and then it strengthened over land, which is against all of the conventional wisdom. Not unheard of, but not usual by any estimation. It was taking aim at Jacksonville, then St. Augustine, and now Flagler. It was going to strengthen to a hurricane back out over the Atlantic, but now … not so much.
And they think they can tell us what the climate is going to be like in 20 years, and 50 years, and 100 years. I remain skeptical.
Still, the city is largely shut down. City offices other than the EOC are closed, schools and libraries are closed. Banks and credit unions are closed. Andie’s real estate office is closed tomorrow. Buses won’t be running. They’ve announced the bridges will all be closed if the sustained winds go above 40 MPH. I’m not really expecting that, but I guess anything’s possible.
So now, at 10:30, Fay is nearly stationary off just to the northeast of Cape Canaveral. She’s forecast to begin the westward movement later tonight. It’s been raining here off and on all afternoon and into the evening. We’re at just the spot in the circulation that the outer bands will just stream onshore here.
Today was David Gano’s 40th birthday, so we went out with he, Tom, and Julie for dinner at Tentos Churascaria … a Brazilian grill. Above is the scene on 1st Street in Jacksonville Beach … barely a car, sodium lights piercing through the humidity, and just a banana wind blowing … about 15-20 miles per hour. Enough to move all the palm fronds to one side of the tree. Really a nice night out at the beach … if you discount that there’s a tropical storm just over the horizon.